Covid-19 Self Assessment – Georgios Ardavanis (Ph.D.)

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Like most of us, I have isolated myself, too, because of the Covid-19 global pandemic. Although I follow the government’s rules and regulations, I have to admit that there is a plethora of questions and thoughts that invade my head during the course of the day because I believe that this global pandemic will continue to test us locally, nationally, and internationally on many levels and for a long time. First, let me say that the cacophony of the media representatives (especially in Greece) has established a stage of panic and stress to the masses with their incompetence and the lack of the basics concerning applied communication and psychology. I am concerned and have become somewhat problematic since I don’t consider myself a sheep for the slaughter with regards to the applicability of past approaches and current threats involving flu pandemics, given that what we are dealing with now is very much not “just the flu.” Is it? For example, the fact that there is now, for the first time, a halt to top sports (e.g., Olympic games, football) is a very high-visibility indicator that we are dealing with a very different situation from past flu experiences with probably significant impacts in our life from now on at least as we were aware until recently.

So, can somebody responsible give us some excellent and reliable information about what is happening and how we deal with it? I want to hear about:

1. Behavioral fatigue. For example, the extensive application of stress and anxiety from social media and the authorities to the masses, I presume, will seriously cause fatigue to the masses, creating a vicious cycle.

2. The value of a statistical life (VSL) metric or, if you wish, what society is willing to pay (regarding a person’s life) to reduce the risk of mortality from Covid-19?

3. What is the probability of a second wave of Covid-19 infections, and what are the proposed measures?

4. Is it better to have intermittent lockdowns instead of prolonged ones?

5. Is Covid-19 mutating, and if yes, under what conditions and what will be the impact on the human environment short- and long-term? 6. How trustworthy are the computer simulations concerning the spread of Covid-19 when the current ones are based on cities and countries (mainly China) to decide whether to impose strict lockdowns? Please consider that Stanford University’s epidemiologist Dr. Ioannides suggests that China’s data are inaccurate.

To make the long story short, we need educated and professional, accurate input without any biases, so we will understand where we stand and, at the same time, how we can help society to contain the spread of Covid-19.

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